Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1175.875993 1328.747707 1496.454128 1694.494185 1922.480762 2177.318933 2484.583040
2025-12-07 911.532932 1109.859995 1346.431461 1651.095664 2035.448761 2507.371428 3135.513381
2025-12-14 760.898030 973.052868 1240.557126 1605.787492 2096.360376 2739.425657 3657.623745
2025-12-21 651.427204 865.790711 1148.188849 1552.191304 2123.072228 2912.603594 4107.681365
2025-12-28 603.352192 830.197209 1141.122472 1605.332469 2292.728109 3292.147761 4890.716495
2026-01-04 555.781790 788.055541 1117.589520 1628.361993 2416.728278 3615.391801 5630.817540
2026-01-11 513.069828 747.216792 1089.811391 1639.068779 2519.401461 3913.957663 6369.865509
2026-01-18 476.108152 710.465498 1063.158466 1646.444689 2614.547172 4208.074495 7139.714325
2026-01-25 451.957089 690.375176 1059.049524 1687.427313 2766.594768 4611.320542 8155.878410
2026-02-01 427.813948 667.691847 1048.027222 1714.684544 2896.730955 4990.517861 9183.444290
2026-02-08 403.855439 642.925413 1030.867893 1728.822704 3003.953583 5339.798650 10205.353731
2026-02-15 382.988507 621.274667 1016.558458 1745.670659 3116.617532 5711.034924 11327.128337
2026-02-22 365.519806 604.429592 1009.792815 1776.943650 3263.084055 6172.617177 12731.092612
2026-03-01 337.193493 566.685695 963.569286 1731.242446 3256.792228 6331.999862 13511.750424
2026-03-08 311.535563 531.525307 918.820098 1683.456338 3239.978191 6465.851908 14254.773103
2026-03-15 287.169390 496.806738 871.998795 1626.944001 3198.564255 6541.423419 14872.739396
2026-03-22 280.222019 493.128814 881.969489 1682.976610 3397.599211 7165.040658 16937.338910
2026-03-29 269.649406 481.867154 876.601037 1707.263014 3531.128921 7659.903534 18773.061516
2026-04-05 258.310705 468.277253 865.570583 1718.554918 3636.996667 8104.858717 20565.074922
2026-04-12 247.427906 454.743065 853.508735 1726.334201 3735.553546 8545.729714 22435.217251
2026-04-19 241.122763 449.633660 857.739870 1769.562258 3921.428493 9228.480767 25142.104234
2026-04-26 233.679656 441.708846 855.568646 1798.316784 4076.164466 9855.078330 27822.674653
2026-05-03 225.351651 431.404703 847.644679 1813.232784 4198.748875 10415.700015 30427.411508